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Market Developments
The index was strongly supported by state-owned enterprises (SOEs), including Petrovietnam Gas (GAS) (97% state-owned), Vietnam National Petroleum Group (PLX) (77%), Bank for Foreign Trade (VCB), Bank for Investment and Development of Vietnam (BID), Vietnam Joint Stock Commercial Bank For Industry and Trade (CTG), Vietnam Rubber Group (GVR), and Bao Viet Holdings (BVH). Domestic retail investors rotated speculative capital into these names after the Politburo issued Resolution 79, which aims to improve the operational efficiency and profitability of state-owned enterprises. Although the resolution will take time to translate into tangible earnings improvements, it has already provided a significant boost to investor confidence and near-term market sentiment.
Resolution 79 to Improve State-Owned Enterprises’ Performance
The Politburo’s Resolution 79, issued on 6th January 2026, marks a decisive shift in Vietnam’s approach to SOEs, moving away from rigid administrative control toward a market-driven, performance-oriented governance model. The resolution aims to unlock efficiency, competitiveness, and capital productivity across the SOE sector.
Key reforms include a clear separation between political mandates and commercial activities, market-based compensation and performance evaluation for SOE management, the hiring of professional CEOs, and a strategic focus on scaling strong SOEs in critical sectors such as energy, infrastructure, finance, defence, and digital technology. Modern governance standards are set to be fully adopted across the sector.
Resolution 79 sets ambitious long-term targets: by 2030, at least 50 Vietnamese SOEs among Southeast Asia’s top 500 companies, and by 2045, 1–3 SOEs entering the global top 500. Greater transparency in asset management, expanded public-private partnerships, and accelerated digital transformation further strengthen the investment case.
Together with Resolution 68 on private-sector development, Vietnam has now activated both engines of growth, state and private enterprises, creating a powerful policy foundation for sustained high growth and improved capital market performance in the 2026–2030 period and beyond.
Vietnam’s Outstanding Economic Performance in 2025
In 2025, major international institutions, including the World Bank, IMF, OECD, ADB, UOB, and Fitch, significantly underestimated Vietnam’s economic resilience, forecasting GDP growth of just 5.8–6.9%. In reality, Vietnam delivered a standout 8.02% expansion, outperforming all expectations and ranking among the world’s fastest-growing economies.
This outperformance highlights Vietnam’s ability to thrive despite global headwinds such as U.S. tariff pressures, trade uncertainty, and slowing external demand. Strong exports, record FDI inflows, accelerating public investment, and agile policy execution proved far more powerful than anticipated.
Growth was broad-based and fundamentally strong. Despite fears of capital flight after the announcement of a 46% U.S. tariff on 2nd April 2025, Vietnam attracted a record USD 38 bn in registered FDI, while disbursed FDI rose 9% YoY to an all-time high of USD 27.6 bn.
Exports also exceeded expectations, with total export turnover reaching USD 475 bn (+17% YoY). Exports to the U.S. surged 28% to a record USD 153 bn, decisively beating forecasts. These results confirm that Vietnam was not only resilient to U.S. tariffs but, in many sectors, emerged as a clear beneficiary of the shifting global trade landscape.
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