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Full year 2024 earnings season is off to a strong start!

 

AFC Uzbekistan Fund March 2025 Update

 

Dear Investors and Friends,

This March marks a significant milestone for the AFC Uzbekistan Fund as we celebrate our six-year anniversary. The month saw minimal news flow due to Ramadan, which resulted in a slowdown in economic activity as focus shifted toward family matters. However, so far during this earnings season, one of our largest holdings reported its FY 2024 results, showcasing continued strong growth and a double-digit dividend yield. In March 2025, the fund's Net Asset Value (NAV) decreased to an estimated USD 1,224.8 (-0.9%), reflecting a return of +22.5% since its inception on 29th March 2019.


AFC Uzbekistan Fund valuations as of 31st March 2025:

 Estimated weighted harmonic average trailing P/E (only companies with profit):

3.86x
 Estimated weighted harmonic average P/B: 0.62x
 Estimated weighted portfolio dividend yield: 2.65%

 

On 29th March 2025, we celebrated the sixth anniversary of the AFC Uzbekistan Fund. Over these years, Uzbekistan has experienced substantial development both on a local and geopolitical level, becoming arguably the most influential country in Central Asia, and attracting significant investments and interest from the Middle East, Russia, China, and the West.

Over the past several years, it has become abundantly clear that Central Asia is a new geopolitical battleground for influence as the region connects “East and West” while being significantly influenced by Russia and China. One only needs to look at the “hermit” country of Turkmenistan, which is looking to enter the global geopolitical arena in recent months, leveraging its geographic importance from a logistical standpoint, as well as through its vast energy reserves, specifically natural gas.

While the region, including Uzbekistan, is developing nicely, the fund is continuously building positions in top-tier listed companies that are best-positioned to benefit from Uzbekistan’s economic growth. Although the economy is currently experiencing a temporary slowdown after rapid growth since opening up in 2016, with non-performing loans rising to 4.5% in February 2025 and a deceleration in luxury housing construction (while economic housing construction continues to advance), our core financial services holdings continue to thrive.

In March 2025, the Uzbek Commodity Exchange (TSE: URTS) reported its full-year 2024 results, with earnings per share soaring by 39.4% to UZS 852.91, up from UZS 611.56 in 2023. URTS's EPS in 2024 represents a staggering increase of 1,115% since we began acquiring shares through the AFC Asia Frontier Fund in 2018. Additionally, its 2024 book value increased by 31.13%, rising to UZS 1,160.17 from UZS 883.20 in 2023. As of 31st March 2025, URTS trades at a P/E ratio of 3.74x, a price-to-book ratio of 2.74x, and boasts a dividend yield of 12%.

URTS exemplifies the potential of Uzbek companies and is arguably the best-managed publicly traded company in the country. Nevertheless, its share price performance may deter some speculators, as the company's shares have been in a downtrend since 2021. Meanwhile, earnings continue to grow at double digits, maintaining dividend yields in the teens. Considering that this is a monopoly business, the significant undervaluation highlights the potential for a strong re-rating of blue-chip stocks once the stock exchange operates more efficiently and attracts more foreign capital. Patience will be crucial during this correction phase, as the market must evolve sufficiently to unlock value across these companies while the underlying businesses thrive amidst Uzbekistan's growing economy.

 
 

Uzbek Commodity Exchange Share Price from 2019 to Date

(Source: AFC Research, Uzse.uz)

 

AFC Uzbekistan Fund Investor Day 2025

We are excited to announce our 4th AFC Uzbekistan Investor Tour, designed to bring existing and prospective investors to experience Uzbekistan firsthand. We will host a day tour on 27th May 2025, which will include a half-day tour of Tashkent, a visit to one of the fund’s portfolio companies, followed by a dinner. If you are interested in attending, please email us at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. to express your interest, and we will follow up with you.

For further viewing, here are some interesting, relevant news links related to Uzbekistan:

Central Asia's Shining Star: Uzbekistan on the Road to Success

Tourist arrivals his 1.3 million in first two months of 2025

Investors seeking EM Frontier Switch Global Risks for Local

 

AFC Uzbekistan Fund Marketing Information as of the end of February 2025

 
 

Subscriptions

The next cutoff date for Subscriptions will be 24th April 2025. If you would like any assistance with the subscription process, please get in touch with us at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Best regards,

AFC Uzbekistan Fund